Newtown vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 1
NEW
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
NEW
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
HAV
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CON
0 - 2
COL
81%
13%
6%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
CON
2 - 0
FLI
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
CON
38%
25%
36%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CON
2 - 3
BAR
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
CON
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |