Newtown vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
LLA
3 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 2
NEW
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 2
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 3
AIR
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
AIR
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TNS
5 - 0
CON
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
1 - 2
CON
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
TNS
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
CON
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |