Newtown vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 2
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 4
TNS
34%
24%
42%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 4
NEW
16%
19%
65%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NEW
0 - 1
DUN
29%
23%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
1 - 4
BAR
15%
24%
61%
|
43 | 67 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FLI
4 - 0
CEF
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 2
CON
13%
22%
65%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
PRE
3 - 0
CEF
75%
15%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
HAV
2 - 0
CEF
65%
20%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |