Newtown vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 2
NEW
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
1 - 1
TNS
23%
25%
52%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
NEW
3 - 1
ABE
56%
22%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
PRE
2 - 5
NEW
62%
20%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AIR
3 - 1
LID
74%
16%
10%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PRE
1 - 6
AIR
45%
25%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 0
AIR
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
CON
4 - 1
AIR
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
AIR
2 - 2
CON
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |