Newtown vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
22.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 2
NEW
32%
25%
42%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
FLI
1 - 0
NEW
28%
25%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CAE
3 - 1
NEW
50%
24%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
NEW
1 - 2
BAL
38%
25%
37%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
ABE
3 - 1
FLI
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
ABE
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ABE
2 - 3
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CEF
2 - 2
ABE
52%
23%
25%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ABE
0 - 1
PEN
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -2 |