Newtongrange Star vs Dunbar United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newtongrange Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WHI
2 - 1
NEW
20%
19%
61%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 3
DUN
42%
21%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
MUS
1 - 3
NEW
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 3
TRA
30%
24%
46%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PEE
1 - 3
NEW
13%
16%
71%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Dunbar United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
DUN
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
DUN
1 - 2
LIN
12%
15%
73%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
HBH
0 - 1
DUN
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
4 - 0
DUN
86%
10%
3%
|
23 | 48 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
DUN
3 - 2
MUS
22%
20%
58%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +2 |