Newport County vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
CAM
42%
27%
32%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
OPA
0 - 1
NEW
57%
24%
20%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
BUR
29%
27%
44%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MOR
3 - 2
NEW
42%
26%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DAG
0 - 2
NOR
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 0
EXE
55%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 0
NOR
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 1
STF
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
OPA
2 - 0
NOR
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |