Newport County vs Mansfield Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
31.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HUN
0 - 3
NEW
10%
18%
72%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
WES
1 - 8
NEW
12%
19%
69%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
BAT
1 - 1
NEW
15%
22%
64%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
STF
0 - 1
NEW
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
UND
2 - 4
NEW
11%
16%
72%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Mansfield Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 1
NTT
26%
24%
50%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HUL
2 - 2
MAN
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 3
BBU
24%
23%
54%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ALF
0 - 1
MAN
11%
19%
70%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
BRA
2 - 4
MAN
13%
21%
66%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |