Newhaven vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newhaven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PEA
2 - 2
NEW
24%
21%
56%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NEW
4 - 2
LOX
88%
9%
3%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
EAS
2 - 1
NEW
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
HAS
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 3
NEW
18%
19%
63%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
PAG
2 - 3
LIT
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 0
PAG
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
PAG
3 - 2
TOW
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
PAG
1 - 2
VAR
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
PAG
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |