Newell's Old Boys vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
21.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
PLA
0 - 0
NOB
34%
28%
38%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
NOB
0 - 2
GOD
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
TIG
0 - 2
NOB
38%
27%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 3
NOB
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 0
NOB
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 0
SLO
38%
29%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
SAR
64%
23%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
1 - 1
RAC
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 0
SAR
51%
27%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 1
SAR
49%
27%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |