Newell's Old Boys vs Sarmiento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
7.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
NOB
3 - 1
EST
61%
23%
17%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
IND
2 - 1
NOB
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
NOB
2 - 2
BOC
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
PLA
1 - 3
NOB
35%
28%
37%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
NOB
1 - 1
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarmiento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
INS
2 - 1
SAR
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
SAR
1 - 1
FER
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
EST
2 - 0
SAR
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
SAR
2 - 2
IND
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1982 |
BOC
4 - 1
SAR
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |