Newell's Old Boys vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newell's Old Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
RAF
2 - 3
NOB
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NOB
3 - 3
BEL
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 1
GLP
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BOC
0 - 1
NOB
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
NOB
1 - 3
TAL
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
EST
3 - 1
BOC
42%
30%
28%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 1
EST
49%
27%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
IND
46%
29%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 1
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
EST
0 - 1
FIO
26%
28%
46%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |