Newcastle vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
GRI
1 - 1
NEW
47%
26%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
NEW
3 - 1
SWI
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1992 |
CAM
0 - 2
NEW
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 1992 |
NEW
0 - 1
BHA
54%
24%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
POR
0 - 1
NEW
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1992 |
SUN
1 - 3
BRI
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1992 |
SUN
2 - 1
CHL
28%
23%
49%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1992 |
WAT
1 - 0
SUN
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1992 |
CHL
1 - 1
SUN
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
SUN
1 - 0
WOL
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |