Newcastle vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
WHU
2 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
BUR
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
2 - 0
HUR
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
CSK
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2019 |
WOL
1 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 0
LIV
23%
23%
54%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 3
EVE
17%
22%
60%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
WAT
1 - 0
EVE
32%
24%
44%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 2
MAC
18%
22%
60%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 3
WOL
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |