Newcastle Town vs Spalding United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 3
NEW
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
BED
0 - 0
NEW
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
0 - 1
FRI
58%
22%
21%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NEW
3 - 2
NEW
85%
10%
4%
|
26 | 63 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Spalding United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 2
WIS
76%
15%
10%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
WIS
2 - 2
SPA
9%
14%
77%
|
37 | 12 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 1
COR
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
STO
0 - 2
SPA
56%
21%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
WIT
2 - 1
SPA
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |