Newcastle Town vs Belper Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
3 - 1
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
1 - 1
NOR
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 2
LIN
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HUC
2 - 1
NEW
31%
25%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
BEL
32%
25%
44%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
3 - 0
LIN
79%
14%
8%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
GRE
1 - 0
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
LOU
0 - 0
BEL
41%
23%
35%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |