Newcastle Jets vs Wellington Phoenix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 1
ADE
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PER
1 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 2
SYD
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
NEW
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 1
CCM
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
WPH
2 - 2
WES
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WPH
3 - 0
CCM
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ADE
2 - 0
WPH
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MCI
2 - 1
WPH
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CCM
0 - 2
WPH
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |