Newcastle Jets vs Sydney FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
48.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MEL
4 - 0
NEW
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
1 - 1
BRI
56%
23%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
PER
6 - 2
NEW
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NEW
0 - 4
MCI
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
ADE
2 - 1
NEW
52%
23%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SYD
2 - 1
ADE
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SYD
2 - 1
MCI
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
WPH
2 - 2
SYD
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
SYD
1 - 0
CCM
75%
16%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SYD
5 - 1
BRI
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |