Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast Mariners analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
4º
10º
10º
18
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 48 |
1º
|
31% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 46 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 46 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 43 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 39 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 37 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 36 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 36 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 29 |
10º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 23 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
46.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 22.5% |
|
Next round
|
6.5% | 68.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
WPH
32%
26%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BRI
0 - 2
NEW
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
SYD
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
MCI
0 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 1
ADE
33%
25%
43%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Central Coast Mariners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
3 - 0
FKA
91%
7%
2%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 1
CCM
5%
14%
81%
|
77 | 28 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
0 - 2
CCM
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
WPH
61%
20%
18%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CCM
2 - 1
MCI
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |