New Jersey Copa vs Motown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
70.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Jersey Copa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2018 |
ATC
0 - 1
NJC
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ECS
0 - 5
NJC
15%
18%
67%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2017 |
NJC
1 - 2
FCM
17%
19%
64%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Motown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
JLS
0 - 4
FCM
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FCM
3 - 0
MON
80%
12%
8%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
FCM
1 - 3
PNN
28%
23%
50%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
FCM
2 - 1
NEW
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 0
FCM
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |