Neuchâtel Xamax vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
52.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
STG
1 - 1
NEX
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
NEX
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
NEX
1 - 2
ZUR
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
THU
1 - 0
NEX
51%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 2
GCZ
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
YOB
3 - 3
BAS
47%
23%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
BAS
1 - 0
NEX
75%
16%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GCZ
1 - 2
BAS
27%
24%
49%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BEL
0 - 4
BAS
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |