Neuchâtel Xamax vs Baden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
4º
24
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 73 |
2º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
75% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 48 |
4º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 41 |
9º
|
56.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
WIL
2 - 0
NEX
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
0 - 1
YOB
13%
19%
68%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
FCV
1 - 1
NEX
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
0 - 8
NEX
5%
11%
84%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BAD
2 - 0
STA
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
KRI
4 - 0
BAD
31%
23%
46%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
BAD
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BAD
0 - 5
WIL
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
AFA
0 - 4
BAD
5%
10%
85%
|
53 | 6 | 47 | -1 |