Nesebar vs Svetkavitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
ROD
2 - 0
NES
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
NES
2 - 1
BEN
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
KAL
1 - 2
NES
44%
26%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
NES
1 - 2
DUN
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
MIN
3 - 1
NES
28%
25%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Svetkavitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
SVE
2 - 0
SVI
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
SVE
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SVE
1 - 2
SPA
42%
27%
32%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CHE
2 - 0
SVE
66%
21%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ROD
6 - 1
SVE
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |