Nesebar vs Sozopol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
BOR
2 - 0
NES
11%
19%
71%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NES
0 - 1
MAR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
NES
1 - 2
MON
23%
28%
49%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 1
NES
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
NES
3 - 0
LSO
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Sozopol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
SOZ
4 - 0
DIM
90%
8%
2%
|
50 | 24 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AKU
0 - 2
SOZ
14%
24%
62%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
HAS
0 - 2
SOZ
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2019 |
SOZ
2 - 1
MAR
78%
15%
8%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
GIG
0 - 1
SOZ
11%
23%
66%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |