Nesebar vs Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
LOV
1 - 0
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NES
0 - 3
POM
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
STR
0 - 1
NES
31%
25%
45%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
CHE
3 - 2
NES
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NES
2 - 1
NEF
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
LOK
3 - 0
CHE
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
NEF
1 - 2
LOK
32%
26%
42%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
LOK
1 - 0
LSO
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
3 - 1
LOK
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LOK
1 - 1
MON
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |