Nesebar vs Dobrudzha Dobrich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
LUD
4 - 1
NES
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2018 |
MON
3 - 1
NES
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NES
0 - 0
CHE
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LSO
0 - 0
NES
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
NES
2 - 1
LOK
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Dobrudzha Dobrich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
DOB
1 - 2
OFK
41%
28%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
DOB
0 - 0
LOV
26%
26%
49%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
STR
3 - 1
DOB
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
DOB
0 - 1
KAR
49%
25%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
BGA
0 - 0
DOB
41%
27%
32%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |