CD Nerja Fundación vs At. Marbella Balompié analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
27.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+239%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nerja Fundación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CDL
6 - 1
NER
67%
18%
15%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NER
1 - 2
BEN
47%
23%
30%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MLK
3 - 0
NER
26%
22%
52%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
NER
2 - 1
ATL
54%
21%
24%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CDM
4 - 2
NER
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
At. Marbella Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
ATM
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 0
ATL
31%
23%
46%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CDT
5 - 2
ATM
67%
19%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
0 - 2
RON
37%
25%
39%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CDT
2 - 1
ATM
61%
20%
19%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |