Nelson Suburbs vs Coastal Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 2
NSF
5%
11%
83%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
NSF
1 - 5
CAS
11%
18%
72%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
COA
1 - 0
NSF
54%
20%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
FER
0 - 2
NSF
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NSF
3 - 1
CHR
56%
20%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
WMK
0 - 3
COA
10%
15%
75%
|
32 | 7 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
COA
4 - 0
FER
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
COA
1 - 1
CHR
67%
17%
15%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
COA
1 - 0
NSF
54%
20%
25%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
SUF
1 - 3
COA
8%
14%
79%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |