Nelas vs Mangualde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
SCP
9 - 1
NEL
60%
21%
20%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NEL
2 - 2
LAM
39%
23%
38%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TAR
4 - 1
NEL
60%
21%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
NEL
2 - 2
SAT
31%
23%
46%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
NEL
66%
19%
16%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mangualde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAM
42%
24%
34%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
LAM
2 - 1
MAN
15%
20%
65%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
CAS
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
MAN
60%
21%
19%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 0
SCP
41%
24%
35%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |