Neftochimik vs Tsarsko Selo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
60.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Neftochimik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
LOK
3 - 1
NEF
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NEF
1 - 1
LOV
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
POM
1 - 1
NEF
65%
21%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
NEF
0 - 1
NES
26%
25%
50%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
NEF
68%
19%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tsarsko Selo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 2
LSO
58%
23%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 3
FCT
18%
26%
56%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 1
MON
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
OBO
1 - 3
FCT
21%
27%
53%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
FCT
1 - 2
BVR
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |