Needham Market vs Dunstable Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
NEE
3 - 2
DER
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NEE
0 - 0
VCD
32%
23%
45%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NEE
3 - 2
BRA
79%
13%
7%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
WHI
0 - 0
NEE
70%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NEE
2 - 1
ERI
81%
12%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dunstable Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 1
DUN
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 1
POT
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
DUN
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AYL
0 - 4
DUN
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2013 |
DUN
4 - 1
KET
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |