Needham Market vs Burgess Hill Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
NEE
2 - 1
DUL
19%
23%
59%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ENF
3 - 0
NEE
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 2
NEE
39%
26%
36%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
1 - 2
NEE
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
NEE
0 - 2
FAR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Burgess Hill Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 0
TON
20%
24%
56%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
HEN
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAN
3 - 3
BUR
51%
24%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 4
BOG
20%
24%
57%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
BIL
0 - 0
BUR
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |