Needham Market vs Arlesey Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Needham Market
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
DOR
3 - 2
NEE
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2017 |
HEN
1 - 0
NEE
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
DUL
2 - 0
NEE
79%
14%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
THU
1 - 0
NEE
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NEE
1 - 6
DAR
19%
23%
58%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Arlesey Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2017 |
CAM
7 - 3
ARL
85%
11%
4%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ARL
0 - 4
MON
12%
16%
72%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AYL
1 - 0
ARL
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
ARL
1 - 6
HAR
12%
16%
73%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
ARL
0 - 2
BED
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |