Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 1
NEC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 2
CHI
40%
28%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 0
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
EST
2 - 2
TOL
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
IND
1 - 1
TOL
30%
29%
41%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TOL
3 - 1
PUE
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 1
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |