Necaxa vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
VER
4 - 1
NEC
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 0
NEC
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
CAZ
2 - 3
NEC
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NEC
2 - 0
LOB
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
UDG
0 - 0
NEC
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MUR
5 - 0
UAT
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ZAC
3 - 3
MUR
68%
21%
11%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LOB
3 - 0
MUR
70%
20%
10%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALE
15%
24%
61%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |