NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
4 - 0
NEC
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 1
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
NEC
0 - 0
AZA
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1996 |
NEC
1 - 4
PSV
9%
17%
75%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
WIL
1 - 3
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
RJC
0 - 0
AJA
32%
25%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
SCH
2 - 0
AJA
24%
24%
52%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1996 |
AJA
0 - 3
PSV
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |