Tercera División RFEF XVI - La Rioja Round 4

Náxara vs UD Logroñés B analysis

Náxara UD Logroñés B
42 ELO 44
-9.6% Tilt 9.6%
4650º General ELO ranking 4676º
151º Country ELO ranking 153º
ELO win probability
31.5%
Náxara
26.7%
Draw
41.8%
UD Logroñés B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
Náxara
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.9%
Win probability
UD Logroñés B
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náxara
+13%
+16%
UD Logroñés B

Points and table prediction

Náxara
Their league position
UD Logroñés B
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
93
79
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Náxara
93
93
100%
UD Logroñés B
79
79
100%
CD Varea
68
68
100%
Arnedo
61
61
100%
Oyonesa
56
56
100%
La Calzada
54
54
100%
CD Calahorra B
49
49
100%
Peña Balsamaiso CF
47
47
100%
Yagüe
45
45
100%
Agoncillo
10º
42
42
10º
100%
CD Berceo
11º
40
40
11º
100%
Comillas CF
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Haro Deportivo
13º
36
36
13º
100%
Vianés
14º
33
33
14º
100%
Autol
15º
31
31
15º
100%
River Ebro
17º
28
28
16º
0%
Casalarreina
16º
28
28
17º
0%
CD Tedeón
18º
22
22
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Náxara
UD Logroñés B
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Náxara
UD Logroñés B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náxara
Náxara
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
CDC
CD Calahorra B
0 - 2
Náxara
NAX
35%
22%
43%
39 36 3 0
15 Sep. 2024
NAX
Náxara
2 - 0
Comillas CF
COM
81%
13%
6%
38 20 18 +1
07 Sep. 2024
YAG
Yagüe
0 - 5
Náxara
NAX
18%
19%
64%
38 24 14 0
28 Aug. 2024
HAR
Haro Deportivo
2 - 6
Náxara
NAX
14%
19%
67%
37 23 14 +1
24 Aug. 2024
NAX
Náxara
0 - 3
Deportivo Alavés C
DAC
54%
22%
25%
38 28 10 -1

Matches

UD Logroñés B
UD Logroñés B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Sep. 2024
UDL
UD Logroñés B
3 - 2
Arnedo
ARN
79%
14%
7%
46 28 18 0
15 Sep. 2024
UDL
UD Logroñés B
1 - 0
Oyonesa
OYO
68%
20%
12%
45 37 8 +1
08 Sep. 2024
CDC
CD Calahorra B
0 - 4
UD Logroñés B
UDL
31%
26%
43%
44 36 8 +1
21 Aug. 2024
NAX
Náxara
1 - 3
UD Logroñés B
UDL
31%
26%
43%
44 38 6 0
12 May. 2024
RRI
Racing Rioja
0 - 3
UD Logroñés B
UDL
16%
21%
63%
43 24 19 +1