Náxara vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.9%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.9%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.5%
4-0
11.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.3%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
2.5%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náxara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
NAX
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NAX
1 - 1
YAG
70%
16%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 2
NAX
13%
19%
69%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NAX
2 - 3
UDL
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CDC
2 - 3
NAX
28%
22%
51%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 4
RRI
6%
13%
81%
|
9 | 31 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAS
11%
20%
69%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PRA
4 - 1
CAL
63%
20%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALB
30%
24%
46%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TED
3 - 1
CAL
74%
17%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |