AFC Champions League Elite Last 16
Global 1-2
Navbahor vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navbahor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GAZ
2 - 2
NAV
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MUM
1 - 2
NAV
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
NAV
1 - 1
NEF
35%
29%
36%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 2
ALH
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
FKO
2 - 1
NAV
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
ALT
0 - 3
ALI
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ALF
0 - 4
ALI
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 5
ALN
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 3
ALR
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 1
ALI
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |