Navarcles vs Avia B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navarcles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
NAV
64%
18%
18%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 5
MON
27%
22%
51%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PUI
2 - 1
NAV
73%
15%
12%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
NAV
3 - 4
SLM
54%
20%
26%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 2
CAS
35%
22%
43%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Avia B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AVI
7 - 0
SLM
78%
13%
9%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SSC
2 - 3
AVI
38%
23%
39%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 1
VIL
72%
15%
13%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
AVI
7 - 4
CAS
56%
20%
24%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
AVI
2 - 2
PUI
47%
21%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |