Navalmoral vs Moraleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navalmoral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PLA
1 - 0
NAV
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AMA
1 - 1
NAV
55%
24%
21%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
NAV
3 - 1
TAL
36%
24%
40%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ORE
4 - 2
NAV
68%
19%
13%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
NAV
0 - 1
HER
27%
24%
49%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Moraleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
5 - 0
TAL
75%
15%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ORE
3 - 1
MOR
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
HER
51%
22%
27%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
GAR
3 - 3
MOR
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MOR
5 - 1
TOR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |