Navalmoral vs Montehermoso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
56.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navalmoral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
HER
2 - 0
NAV
67%
20%
13%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 0
LAS
27%
22%
51%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PUL
3 - 3
NAV
81%
12%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NAV
1 - 1
CIU
14%
19%
67%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
SJO
4 - 1
NAV
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montehermoso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
MON
3 - 0
AMA
54%
22%
25%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CDD
2 - 0
MON
55%
21%
24%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MIA
2 - 3
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
TAL
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |