Naval vs CD Santa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
ARO
0 - 0
NAV
42%
24%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
NAV
1 - 1
SPC
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
NAV
3 - 1
ATL
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAV
5 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 2
NAV
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
AVE
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
5 - 0
TRO
38%
25%
36%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TON
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
NAV
5 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 2
MOR
35%
29%
37%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |