Naval vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
NAV
3 - 2
EST
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 2
FCP
18%
24%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 1
NAV
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 0
BOA
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
NAV
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
LEX
0 - 1
MAR
37%
28%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
UDL
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 1
MAR
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 1
SPB
40%
29%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
NAV
0 - 3
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |