Naval vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
ALV
1 - 2
NAV
56%
24%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
UNM
2 - 0
NAV
30%
28%
43%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NAV
2 - 1
CHA
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2003 |
FCP
2 - 0
NAV
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FAR
0 - 0
NAV
39%
26%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 0
CHA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
FAR
1 - 1
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
AVE
4 - 1
SAL
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
EST
1 - 0
AVE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
AVE
2 - 1
UNI
62%
22%
16%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |