Náutico vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
26%
25%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 0
CAM
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
69%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
11%
19%
71%
|
66 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
0 - 1
SAN
16%
22%
61%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAN
7%
15%
78%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
SPO
41%
26%
33%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
4 - 0
UNI
87%
11%
3%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |