Náutico vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NAU
4 - 2
IMP
74%
18%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
NAU
11%
20%
69%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
NAU
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
SPO
1 - 2
NAU
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
24%
27%
48%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 1
FER
76%
17%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
FER
2 - 6
CEA
11%
20%
69%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
31%
26%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
HOR
54%
22%
24%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |