Náutico vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
20%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
FLU
0 - 2
NAU
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
NAU
2 - 1
GOI
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2008 |
ATM
1 - 0
NAU
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2008 |
NAU
3 - 2
ATM
46%
24%
31%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2008 |
COR
2 - 1
BOT
38%
28%
35%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 1
COR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATM
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |