Naters vs Sion II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
16º
12º
31
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
87.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
42.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
96% | |
|
16º
|
26 | 26 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TER
0 - 2
NAT
53%
22%
26%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
NAT
2 - 1
CSC
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
NAT
3 - 0
LAC
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
NAT
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NAT
1 - 2
POR
60%
20%
21%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sion II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SIO
0 - 4
MEY
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FCC
2 - 0
SIO
37%
22%
41%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FCM
2 - 1
SIO
50%
21%
29%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
SIO
2 - 1
CON
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
0 - 1
SIO
49%
20%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |