Naters vs Lancy FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
BAV
2 - 0
NAT
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAT
2 - 1
ECH
40%
24%
36%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
NAT
0 - 3
MEY
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DUD
3 - 0
NAT
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NAT
3 - 2
FCM
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 1
DUD
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
FCM
0 - 2
LAN
40%
23%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 2
STA
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LAU
3 - 0
LAN
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
LAN
2 - 2
YVE
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |